Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.003400 0.003568 0.003740 0.003929 0.004132 0.004342 0.004577
2025-05-18 0.003086 0.003334 0.003597 0.003899 0.004237 0.004605 0.005036
2025-05-25 0.002945 0.003246 0.003574 0.003962 0.004410 0.004913 0.005526
2025-06-01 0.002795 0.003128 0.003500 0.003949 0.004481 0.005095 0.005866
2025-06-08 0.002661 0.003016 0.003420 0.003917 0.004518 0.005229 0.006144
2025-06-15 0.002528 0.002896 0.003321 0.003853 0.004508 0.005299 0.006340
2025-06-22 0.002417 0.002795 0.003238 0.003800 0.004504 0.005370 0.006534
2025-06-29 0.002346 0.002738 0.003203 0.003802 0.004565 0.005521 0.006834
2025-07-06 0.002224 0.002614 0.003081 0.003689 0.004473 0.005470 0.006863
2025-07-13 0.002169 0.002569 0.003053 0.003692 0.004528 0.005608 0.007148
2025-07-20 0.002141 0.002556 0.003065 0.003745 0.004648 0.005835 0.007562
2025-07-27 0.002076 0.002495 0.003012 0.003710 0.004650 0.005902 0.007755
2025-08-03 0.002019 0.002442 0.002969 0.003688 0.004668 0.005993 0.007989
2025-08-10 0.001964 0.002389 0.002924 0.003662 0.004679 0.006073 0.008210
2025-08-17 0.001946 0.002385 0.002942 0.003719 0.004806 0.006321 0.008693
2025-08-24 0.001903 0.002344 0.002910 0.003708 0.004835 0.006429 0.008967
2025-08-31 0.001854 0.002297 0.002867 0.003678 0.004836 0.006495 0.009178
2025-09-07 0.001797 0.002236 0.002805 0.003619 0.004794 0.006493 0.009281
2025-09-14 0.001747 0.002182 0.002751 0.003570 0.004763 0.006507 0.009407
2025-09-21 0.001718 0.002157 0.002734 0.003573 0.004806 0.006633 0.009722
2025-09-28 0.001652 0.002079 0.002644 0.003469 0.004688 0.006508 0.009613
2025-10-05 0.001627 0.002057 0.002629 0.003471 0.004730 0.006630 0.009925
2025-10-12 0.001618 0.002057 0.002645 0.003520 0.004841 0.006865 0.010442